#m249 #mathematics #open-university #statistics #time-series
The first step is to find an initial estimate of the trend component mt that is not unduly influenced by the seasonal component st. A reasonable starting point would be to use a simple moving average with order equal to the period T of the seasonal cycle. Such a moving average would smooth out the seasonal variation, as the annual highs and lows would cancel out.
If you want to change selection, open document below and click on "Move attachment"
pdf
cannot see any pdfsSummary
status | not read | | reprioritisations | |
---|
last reprioritisation on | | | suggested re-reading day | |
---|
started reading on | | | finished reading on | |
---|
Details