Condorcet Jury Theorem: Suppose a jury of n voters need to select the better of two alternatives and each voter independently makes the correct decision with the same probability p > 1/2 . [...]
Answer
Then the probability that the simple majority rule returns the correct decision increases monotonically in n and approaches 1 as n goes to infinity.
Condorcet Jury Theorem: Suppose a jury of n voters need to select the better of two alternatives and each voter independently makes the correct decision with the same probability p > 1/2 . [...]
Condorcet Jury Theorem: Suppose a jury of n voters need to select the better of two alternatives and each voter independently makes the correct decision with the same probability p > 1/2 . [...]
Answer
Then the probability that the simple majority rule returns the correct decision increases monotonically in n and approaches 1 as n goes to infinity.
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Open it Condorcet Jury Theorem: Suppose a jury of n voters need to select the better of two alternatives and each voter independently makes the correct decision with the same probability p > 1/2 . Then the probability that the simple majority rule returns the correct decision increases monotonically in n and approaches 1 as n goes to infinity.
Original toplevel document (pdf)
owner: rappatoni - (no access) - comsoc-characterisation-2017 (1).pdf, p11
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