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#reading-9-probability-concepts

Suppose the event of interest is *D* = *the portfolio earns a return above the risk-free rate,* and we know the probability distribution of portfolio returns. Assume the risk-free rate is 4 percent. To calculate *P*(*D*), the probability of *D,* we would sum the probabilities of the outcomes that satisfy the definition of the event; that is, we would sum the probabilities of portfolio returns greater than 4 percent.

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