If we take a weighted average of possible future returns on the S&P 500, we are computing the S&P 500’s expected return.
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Expected Value-Weighted mean
traction. If we multiply the first forecast by the probability of expansion and the second forecast by the probability of contraction and then add these weighted forecasts, we are calculating the expected value of the S&P 500 at year-end. <span>If we take a weighted average of possible future returns on the S&P 500, we are computing the S&P 500’s expected return. <span><body><html>