The first step is to find an initial estimate of the trend component mt that is not unduly influenced by the seasonal component st. A reasonable starting point would be to use a simple moving average with order equal to [...]. Such a moving average would smooth out the seasonal variation, as the annual highs and lows would cancel out.
The first step is to find an initial estimate of the trend component mt that is not unduly influenced by the seasonal component st. A reasonable starting point would be to use a simple moving average with order equal to [...]. Such a moving average would smooth out the seasonal variation, as the annual highs and lows would cancel out.
The first step is to find an initial estimate of the trend component mt that is not unduly influenced by the seasonal component st. A reasonable starting point would be to use a simple moving average with order equal to [...]. Such a moving average would smooth out the seasonal variation, as the annual highs and lows would cancel out.
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the period T of the seasonal cycle
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Open it ead>The first step is to find an initial estimate of the trend component m t that is not unduly influenced by the seasonal component s t . A reasonable starting point would be to use a simple moving average with order equal to the period T of the seasonal cycle. Such a moving average would smooth out the seasonal variation, as the annual highs and lows would cancel out.<html>
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